U.S. Senate

Alaska
Statewide

Election day: November 3, 2026

Four candidates. One Senate seat. See the names on Alaska's certified ballot.

The Stated Record analysis: Toss-up

Updated September 3, 2026

Who is running?

Printed ballot candidates

Checked September 2, 2026

Race outlook

Categories are ordered judgments, not win probabilities.

The Stated Record analysisToss-up

Based on 3 verified rating sources.

Cook Political ReportToss Up
Assessed Aug 20, 2026; checked Sep 3, 2026. View source
Inside ElectionsTilt Republican
Assessed Sep 3, 2026; checked Sep 3, 2026. View source
Sabato's Crystal BallToss-up
Assessed Aug 26, 2026; checked Sep 3, 2026. View source

Our synthesis uses the median-style ordinal rule described in Methodology. It is our analysis, not another independent rating.

What to know

Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola appeared together at an Alaska Oil and Gas Association forum on August 27, according to Alaska Public Media.
As of Sep 3, 2026. Sources: Alaska Public Media

Latest record

Reported contextPublished Sep 3, 2026

Alaska Public Media reported on the candidates' joint appearance. Their campaign arguments remain clearly attributed.

Named in this record: Dan S. Sullivan, Mary Peltola

Candidate fieldPublished Sep 2, 2026

The four-name field shown on the race desk matches the Alaska Division of Elections general-election listing.

Named in this record: Gerald L. Heikes, Mary Peltola, Dan S. Sullivan, Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

The details

Election date: November 3, 2026
Launch rating: Cook Political Report: Toss Up; dated August 20, 2026
Ballot source updated: Page updated September 2, 2026; reviewed September 2, 2026.
Candidate field: Printed candidates checked against official election records.

Candidate records, policy positions, and campaign finance are not yet included. How we research and verify.